LiontipsDiego Schwartzman vs Pablo Carreno Busta. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Barcelona (April 23, 2022).
Command Analysis
Diego Schwartzman reached two consecutive quarterfinals. Last week in Monte Carlo, the Argentine was stopped by Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-6, 7-6, 4-6). Schwartzman had more success at the current tournament. In the opening round of the Barcelona Open, he beat Mackenzie McDonald (6-2, 6-2). After that, he played two matches in one day - first, Diego outplayed Lorenzo Musetti (6-4, 7-5), and then defeated Felix Auger Alyassime (3-6, 6-2, 6-3).
Pablo Carreno Busta had tough oponents on his way to the semifinals. In the first round, the Spaniard ousted Bernabe Zapata Miralles (6-3, 6-3). After that, he prevailed over Lorenzo Sonego (6-2, 5-7, 6-2)and Casper Ruud (4-6, 7-6, 6-3). Carreno Busta spent much more time on court than his opponent in the last two matches, which lasted almost six hours.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of the last 4 matches of Schwartzman, no more than 9 games were played in first sets.
СтавкаTie-break - no
There were no tie-breaks in 3 of Carreno Busta's last 4 matches.
Tip and bets
Schwartzman's matches were shorter so he is less tired coming into this battle. This extra 1.5 hours that Carreno Busta spent fighting his opponents will be crucial in the upcoming match.
Our prediction - Schwartzman to win
The two players had tough quarterfinal matches and probably won't be able to handle another long game. The semifinal should be over fairly quickly.
Second bet - total under 23.5 games
