LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Casper Ruud. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Miami (April 3, 2022).
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz became the second 18-year-old to reach the final of the Miami Open after Rafael Nadal, who won the tournament in 2005. The young Spaniard started his Miami campaign with a confident victory over Marton Fucsovics (6-3, 6-2).
After that, he outplayed Marin Cilic (6-4, 6-4) and the World №5 Stefanos Tsitsipas (7-5, 6-3) in straight sets. Alcaraz' quartefinal match against Miomir Kecmanovic was a bit more difficult and he dropped a set (6-7, 6-3, 7-6). In the semifinal, Alcaraz beat Hubert Hurkacz on two tie-breaks (7-6, 7-6).
Casper Ruud's path to the Miami Open final was a little easier. The Norwegian tennis player went against Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals and defeated the German in three sets (6-3, 1-6, 6-3).
In the rest of the matches, Ruud won in straight sets. At the start of the competition, the Norwegian defeated Henri Laaksonen (6-1, 6-2), Alexander Bublik (6-3, 6-2) and Cameron Norrie (6-3, 6-4). In the semifinal, Ruud outplayed Francisco Cherundolo (6-4, 6-1).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Alcaraz has played 4 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
In 4 of Ruud's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
The only match between these two athletes took place last year, and Carlos Alcaraz won in two sets. Today we will be backing the young Spaniard, who has had a phenomenal tournament and defeated very strong opponents in Miami.
Our prediction - handicap (-3) to Alcaraz
Alcaraz has dropped only one set at this tournament. Ruud is in great form, but we think that Alcaraz will make short work of him.
Second bet - total under 23 games
