LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Rafael Nadal. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Indian Wells (March 19, 2022).
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has reached the semifinals of the current Masters without dropping a set. He celebrated success over MacKenzie McDonald (6-3, 6-3), Roberto Bautista Agut (6-2, 6-0), Gael Monfils (7-5, 6-1), and Cameron Norrie (6-4, 6-3). On hard courts, the young athlete has won seven matches against one defeat this season.
Rafael Nadal's way to the semifinals was more difficult, and he had to fight hard in every match. In the opening round, Rafa struggled past Sebastian Korda (6-2, 1-6, 7-6). After that, he prevailed over Daniel Evans (7-5, 6-3) and Reilly Opelka (7-6, 7-6). In the quarterfinal battle, Nadal snatched a victory from Nick Kyrgios (7-6, 5-7, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Alcaraz Garfia has not played tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
More than 9 games were played in the first set in 4 of Nadal's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Nadal has enjoyed fantastic form at the start of the tour, but now he is losing momentum. We think that the young and promising Alcaraz Garfia can get the upper hand over the tired 35-year-old Nadal.
Our prediction - Alcaraz Garfia to win
Nadal and Alcaraz played against each other last year, and back then, the match ended in two sets. We think that Nadal's impressive unbeaten streak will come to an end today - he has aready played four long matches at the current tournament and probably won't be able to keep up with his compatriot.
Second bet - total under 23 games
