LiontipsRafael Nadal vs Reilly Opelka. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Indian Wells (March 16, 2022).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal has won all of his 18 matches in 2022, but he starts to look tired. Both of his matches at the current Indian Wells Masters were quite difficult. In the opening round, Nadal dropped a set against Sebastian Korda (6-2, 1-6, 7-6), and in the last round, he played a tie-break against Daniel Evans (7-5, 6-3).
Reilly Opelka usually gives his best performance at home tournaments. For instance, he recently won the Dallas Open and was the runner-up at the Delray Beach Open. At the current Masters, Opelka cruised past Lorenzo Musetti (6-1, 6-4) and prevailed over Denis Shapovalov in the third round of the competition (6-7, 6-4, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Nadal has played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
More than 9 games have been played in the first set in 4 of Opelka's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
The 35-year-old Spaniard has had a phenomenal start to the 2022 tour, but he looks a bit tired at the Indian Wells Masters and experienced difficulties in both of his matches here. We think that Opelka can create more problems for Nadal.
Our prediction - handicap (+4) to Opelka
Nadal struggles against younger opponents on the fast courts of Indian Wells. We expect Opelka to win at least one set here and suggest playing the total over.
Second bet - total over 23 games
