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Nadal vs Paul: prediction for the Mexican Open match

Mexico
Rafael Nadal
Spain
Mexican Open
estadio

Rafael Nadal goes against Tommy Paul in the quarter-final of the Mexican Open 2022. Who will advance to the next round of the tournament?

Rafael Nadal vs Tommy Paul Prediction and Betting Tips (25.02.2022)

Command Analysis

Rafael Nadal

Spain

Rafael Nadal is the king of slow surfaces, and he is enjoying his campaign in Acapulco. Rafa hasn't had any difficulties in the first two rounds of the tournament - he beat Denis Kudla (6-3, 6-2) and Stefan Kozlov (6-0, 6-3) in straight sets. Nadal won the Mexican Open three times in his career - in 2005, 2013, and 2020. 

Tommy Paul

USA

Tommy Paul, on the other hand, had a very difficult match against Dusan Lajovic. He dropped a set and won two sets on tie-breaks (7-6, 2-6, 7-5). In the first round, Paul's opponnent Matteo Berrettini withdrew from the tournament, so the American automatically advanced to the last 16. 

In 2020, Paul played in the quarter-finals of the Mexican Open. Back then, he lost to his compatriot John Isner (6-7, 6-3, 2-6).

Trends

СтавкаTie-break - no

Nadal played only 1 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.

1.38bet365.com

Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games

In 3 of Paul's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.

1.81bet365.com

Tip and bets

1.71Total under 21 games

Looking at the results of the previous matches of Nadal at the current tournament, we suggest taking the under. The Spaniard is in fantastic form and should make short work of his opponent. 

Our prediction - total under 21 games

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1.74Handicap (-4.5) to Nadal

Paul has certain difficulties against Lajovic in the last match, and we doubt he has enough firepower to defeat Rafael Nadal, who is having a great season.

Second bet - handicap (-4.5) to Nadal

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Betting predictions stat

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201tips
94win
21refund
86losing
-3.42%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit