LiontipsRafael Nadal vs Tommy Paul. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Acapulco (February 25, 2022).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal is the king of slow surfaces, and he is enjoying his campaign in Acapulco. Rafa hasn't had any difficulties in the first two rounds of the tournament - he beat Denis Kudla (6-3, 6-2) and Stefan Kozlov (6-0, 6-3) in straight sets. Nadal won the Mexican Open three times in his career - in 2005, 2013, and 2020.
Tommy Paul, on the other hand, had a very difficult match against Dusan Lajovic. He dropped a set and won two sets on tie-breaks (7-6, 2-6, 7-5). In the first round, Paul's opponnent Matteo Berrettini withdrew from the tournament, so the American automatically advanced to the last 16.
In 2020, Paul played in the quarter-finals of the Mexican Open. Back then, he lost to his compatriot John Isner (6-7, 6-3, 2-6).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Nadal played only 1 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Paul's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Looking at the results of the previous matches of Nadal at the current tournament, we suggest taking the under. The Spaniard is in fantastic form and should make short work of his opponent.
Our prediction - total under 21 games
Paul has certain difficulties against Lajovic in the last match, and we doubt he has enough firepower to defeat Rafael Nadal, who is having a great season.
Second bet - handicap (-4.5) to Nadal
