LiontipsTommy Paul vs Matteo Berrettini. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Acapulco (February 23, 2022).
Command Analysis
Tommy Paul is in good shape. In January, he reached the quarter-finals in Adelaide, and recently made it to the semi-finals of the Delray Beach Open. Paul has played at the Mexican Open three times, and his best result here is the quarter-finals.
Matteo Berrettini played in Rio last week. After a victory over Thiago Monteiro (6-4, 6-7, 6-3), the Italian athlete lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter-final (2-6, 6-2, 2-6). At the beginning of 2022, Berrettini won one of his three matches at the ATP Cup and played in the semi-final of the Australian Open against Rafael Nadal (3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 3-6).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Paul played 2 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Paul lacks consistency, especially when he plays against higher-ranked opponents. We believe he will struggle to put up a fight against Berrettini, who has been excellent on hard courts this year.
Our prediction - handicap (-3) to Berrettini
Both sides have big serves, so we expect a close match with at least one tie-breaker. We suggest playing the total over.
Second bet - total over 22 games
