LiontipsMatteo Berrettini vs Rafael Nadal. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022 Australian Open (January 28, 2022).
Command Analysis
Matteo Berrettini is in good shape and has managed to get the upper hand over several difficult opponents. The Italian tennis player defeated Carlos Alcaraz Garcia (6-2, 7-6, 4-6, 2-6, 7-6) and Gael Monfils (6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 3-6, 6-2) in five sets. In both cases, Berrettini won the first two sets, but lost focus and allowed the opponents to make a comeback. He also ousted Brandon Nakashima, Stefan Kozlov, and Pablo Carreno Busta in the earlier rounds of the major.
Rafael Nadal had a tough fight against Denis Shapovalov in the quarter-final match, which is not surprising at all considering the history of matches between these players. Nadal needed five sets to beat the Canadian (6-3, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 3-6). His other opponents were Marcos Giron, Yannick Hanfmann, Karen Khachanov, and Adrian Mannarino - Nadal confidently defeated all of them.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Berrettini played 4 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 4 of Nadal's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Nadal has enough experience to beat Berrettini in three sets, like he did at the US Open in 2019. Rafa is in great shape and we are predicting his confident victory in the upcoming match.
Our prediction - total under 40 games
Three years ago, Berrettini lost to Nadal at the US Open. We think that the Spanish tennis player will have enough firepower to defeat Berrettini again, even though now the italian is faster than his eminent counterpart. We will be backing Nadal here.
Second prediction - handicap (-3) to Nadal
