LiontipsPablo Carreno Busta vs Matteo Berrettini. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022 Australian Open (January 23, 2022).
Command Analysis
Carreno Busta has made it to the last 16 at the Australian Open twice, the last time being three years ago. Now the Spaniard has a chance to improve his best result, but Berrettini is not an easy opponent. Carreno Busta got a landslide victory over Etchevery in his opener (6:1, 6:2, 7:6), but the following matches were more difficult. Carreno Busta outplayed Tallon Griekspoor in five sets (6:3, 6:7, 7:6, 3:6, 6:4) and lost one set to Sebastian Korda (6:4, 7:5, 6:7, 6:3).
Berrettini had a poor start to the season and lost 2 of his 3 matches at the ATP Cup. He only defeated Ugo Humbert at that tournament (6:4, 7:6). The Italian was also the underdog in the third-round match of the Australian Open - bookmakers believed in the young Spanish player Alcaraz Garcia. However, Berrettini got the upper hand (6:2, 7:6, 4:6, 2:6, 7:6) and progressed to the last 16. In his first matches, the Italian beat Nakashima (4:6, 6:2, 7:6, 6:3) and Kozlov (6:1, 4:6, 6:4, 6:1).
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 out of 4 matches of Berrettini, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
СтавкаTie-break - yes
The Italian played tie-breaks in 4 of his last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Carreno Busta's style is very defensive, which often pays off in matches against weaker opponents, but Berrettini is an aggressive player, and we believe that he will be able to defeat the Spaniard in the upcoming match.
Our prediction - handicap (-3) to Berrettini
We doubt that Carreno Busta can get more than just one set in this fixture. We suggest betting on the total under.
Second bet - total under 41.5 games
