LiontipsFacundo Bagnis vs Christian Garin: Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022 Australian Open (January 17, 2022).
Command Analysis
Like most Argentinian tennis players, Facundo Bagnis prefers clay courts. He played 78 matches on hard in his career, and won in only 31 of them. However, Bagnis might achieve success at the current Australian Open: last year, he reached the third round of the US Open, and in the new season he outplayed Andy Murray (6:3, 5:7, 6:3) and put up a proper fight against Grigor Dimitrov (7:5, 6:7, 3:6). He also lost to David Goffin at the tournament in Sydney (4:6, 4:6).
Christian Garin isn't confident on fast surfaces, either. Last year, he recorded only two victories on hard, which is a very modest result. This year, Garin has appeared only at the ATP Cup. In one match, he prevailed over Dusan Lajovic (4:6, 6:4, 3:0), but was absolutely crushed by Roberto Bautista-Agut (3:6, 0:6) and yielded to Casper Ruud (4:6, 1:6).
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In 3 of Bagnis' last 5 matches on hard, no more than 9 games were played in the first set
СтавкаTie-break - no
Bagnis didn't play tie-breaks in 3 of his last 4 matches on hard court.
Tip and bets
It seems that Garin is not ready for the season yet. He looked terrible at the ATP Cup, and we doubt that he picked great form in two weeks. We think that Bagnis can put up a fight here.
Our prediction - total over 37 games
Last year, Garin defeated Bagnis in the final match of the tournament in Santiago (6:4, 6:7, 7:5). We believe that the upcoming match will be close, and that Bagnis will be able to maintain the handicap of 4,5 games. We suggest playing a positive handicap to the underdog.
Second wager — handicap (+4,5) games to Bagnis
