LiontipsCasper Ruud vs Christian Garin. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Cup (January 5, 2022).
Command Analysis
The Norwegian national team doesn't have a very big chance of making the playoffs. Casper Ruud is undoubtedly the strongest tennis player in the team, but he hasn't been very successful at the current tournament. In the first round match, Ruud got a hard-fought victory over Dusan Lajovic (6-3, 7-5), but yesterday he failed to defeat Roberto Bautista Agut (4-6, 6-7).
Christian Garin is a clay-court specialist, and he isn't very confident on the hard courts of Sidney. In his opener, Garin lost to the same Bautista Agut in two straight sets (0-6, 3-6). The following match against Lajovic was quite dramatic - Garin lost the first set, won the second, and then his opponent got injured in the third. Lajovic withdrew from the match thus losing to Garin with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 0-3.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Ruud played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
In Garin's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Garin leads the head-to-head at 2-0, but he struggles on hard. Considering that the upcoming match doesn't change anything for Norway or Chile, we suggest playing the total over - the tennis players will probably just try to give a good performance and enjoy the game.
Our prediction - total over 20 games
Despite losing the head-to-head, Ruud is the stronger side here. He is in much better form and should be able to defeat Garin. However, we do not expect a crushing victory, and suggest betting on Garin with a positive handicap.
Second wager - handicap(+5) to Garin
