Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Kremlin Cup

Command Analysis

Moscow tournament is the first one for Aryna Sabalenka after her positive coronavirus test, which forced her to sit out for a month. First match against Ajla Tomljanovic was a difficult one. Lack of match practice affected Sabalenka's performance, especially in the first set.
In the first set Belarusian player made three double faults, she made a break, but then failed to win a game at her serve. But Sabalenka managed to improve her performance and eventually won the match in three sets (6:7, 6:4, 6:1). If Belarusian player will keep the same level of performance as she showed in the third set, her opponent won't have many chances for a success.

Ekaterina Alexandrova already played two matches in Moscow, because she started from the first round. But her first round opponent, Ons Jabeur, withdrew herself from the match during the second set.
In the second round match against Kalinina only the first set was contested. Alexandrova made the first break, but failed to keep the lead. But in her second attempt Alexandrova managed to win the game at her serve and didn't let Kalinina to come back into the game. In the second set Ukrainian player was unable to fight (6:4, 6:1).
Trends
СтавкаSets total under 2.5
All three head-to-head matches between Sabalenka and Alexandrova ended in two sets
СтавкаFirst set: total under 9.5
In each of three most recent head-to-head matches no more than nine games were played in the first set
Tip and bets
In 2019 Aryna Sabalenka recorded two confident victories over Ekaterina Alexandrova without losing a single set. One of those victories was recorded at indoor tournament in St. Petersburg (6:3, 6:4). At the start of the tournament Sabalenka needed some time to gain form and now she is ready to advance further. We don't think that an inconsistent Russian player will stop Sabalenka on her way to the semi-final.
Our prediction - Sabalenka to win with a handicap of (-4) games
In each of three head-to-head matches no more than 20 games were played. We are expecting a low score once again.
Our second bet is on total under 21 games













