LiontipsHolger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Metz (September 24, 2021).
Command Analysis
Rune has already played four matches at the Moselle Open. His success in the qualifying rounds was predictable, but few people expected that he would be able to progress to the quarterfinals.
In the first round of the main draw, Rune left no chances to Bernabe Zapata Miralles: he beat the Spaniard without losing a single game. In the second round, Rune outplayed the Italian Lorenzo Sonego (6-7, 6-4, 6-4).
Carreno Busta is having his first indoor tournament this year. In the first round of the Moselle Open, the Spanish tennis player confidently won over Mikael Ymer (7-5, 6-2).
Carreno Busta is in perfect shape. It is too early to predict his victory in Metz, but with the proper attitude, Carreno Busta can defeat any opponent. The Spaniard has already won two trophies this year and a bronze medal at the Tokyo Olympics.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - Yes
Rune has played two tie-breaks in the last five matches.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
Carreno Busta played over 9.5 games in the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Rune is on a good run. He won all nine of his matches indoors. It will be extremely difficult for him to beat Carreno Busta, but we expect him to create problems for the Spaniard. The Danish player is very talented and not afraid of eminent opponents, so we suggest playing his victory with a positive handicap.
Our prediction - Rune to win with a handicap (+3)
This will probably be a long match. Carreno Busta is the favourite to win, but he won't have it easy. Rune is on form and can put up a fight against the Spanish player.
Second wager - total over 22 games
