LiontipsLiudmila Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Luxembourg
Command Analysis
After a successful performance on the grass Liudmila Samsonova's performance went downhill. She is not experienced enough to maintain herself in a good form for a long time. At North American hard tournaments Russian player won only two matches in the main draw.
But a transition to the Luxembourg indoor court improved Samsonova's results. In three matches of that tournament she didn't lose a single set to her opponents. In the quarter-final she recorded a victory over the Olympic champion, Belinda Bencic (6:1, 6:4).
A tournament at Luxembourg is a special one for Jelena Ostapenko. She participated here only once, in 2019, and she won a title. Latvian player surely wants to repeat that success.
In first two rounds Ostapenko had easy opponents, Niemeier and Hartono. After those matches Ostapenko managed to find her game. In the quarter-final she recorded a victory in straight sets over Alize Cornet (7:6, 6:2). Frenchwoman had only two break-points in that match, Ostapenko won 67% of points at her serve.
Trends
СтавкаSecond set: total under 9.5
In four out of five most recent matches of Ostapenko no more than nine games were played in the second set
СтавкаTiebreak: yes
Both opponents combined played three tiebreaks at Luxembourg
Tip and bets
Jelena Ostapenko is feeling herself comfortable at Luxembourg tournament, she is improving with every single match. In quarter-final Cornet failed to keep up with Ostapenko's offense. We don't think that Samsonova will beat Ostapenko. In the previous year Ostapenkorecorded a victory in the head-to-head match (6:1, 6:4).
Our prediction - Ostapenko to win
Looking at the current form of players, we think that opponents will play a long match at the fast surface of Luxembourg indoor court. We are expecting at least 21 games to be played.
Our second bet is on total over 21 games
