Vogele vs Alexandrova: prediction for the WTA Luxembourg match

We offer a prediction for the WTA Luxembourg match between Vogele and Alexandrova. Russian player recorded two victories over her Swiss opponent in career. Should we expect another victory in Luxembourg on September 13?

Command Analysis

Stefanie Voegele

An experienced Stefanie Vogele's peak of career is far behind her now, few years ago she was a Top-50 WTA player, but now she is only at 128th position in the rankings. Vogele is alternating wins and losses in qualifications for numerous tournaments.
For the most recent time Vogele played an official match at US Open. She got into the main draw of New York tournament as lucky-loser. But in the first round she was eliminated by the eventual winner of the tournament, Emma Raducanu (2:6, 3:6).

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova is not looking convincing in recent tournaments. Since June Russian player failed to advance past the second round in any WTA tournament. At US Open she was sensationally beaten by her compatriot, Rakhimova (4:6, 1:6).
Probably Alexandrova's performance will improve after a transition to indoor courts. She is looking on indoor courts, she has a great career record on those matches: 135 victories and only 55 defeats.
Trends
СтавкаSecond set: total under 9.5
This bet won in two most recent head-to-head matches between Vogele and Alexandrova

СтавкаSets total under 2.5
Both head-to-head matches ended in two sets

Tip and bets
Alexandrova recorded two victories over Vogele in her career and didn't lose a single set. Russian player performs well on indoor courts. We don't think that Swiss player will be able to compete against Alexandrova.
Our prediction - Alexandrova to win with a handicap of (-4.5) games
In each of two head-to-head matches no more than 20 games were played. We are not expecting a long match in Luxembourg.
Our second bet is on total under 20.5 games