LiontipsLeylah Fernandez vs Aryna Sabalenka. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA US Open
Command Analysis
19-year old Leylah Fernandez was not considered a favourite of US Open, in fact, no one even expected to see her in the round of 16 at that tournament, because in the third round she had to play against the current title holder, Naomi Osaka. But Fernandez managed to record a victory over her mighty opponent in three sets (5:7, 7:6, 6:4).
A victory over Osaka gained Fernandez' self-confidence, young player started to perform even better. After that she recorded victory over Kerber (4:6, 7:6, 6:2). In the quarter-final Fernandez recorded another difficult victory, this time she beat Elina Svitolina (6:3, 3:6, 7:6).
We should note that young Canadian player is looking brave and aggressive in her matches. In matches against strong opponents, Kerber and Svitolina, she made 45 and 42 winners respectively.
Aryna Sabalenka is one of the few favourites, who managed to confirm that status at US Open. She reached the semi-final quite easily. World No. 2 player had only one difficult match, in the first round against Stojanovic (6:4, 6:7, 6:0).
In four most recent matches Sabalenka didn't lose a single set. She played against Zidansek, Collins, Mertens and Krejcikova. We should note that after a victory over Krejcikova (6:1, 6:4) Sabalenka stayed at the court and continued to train. She was unsatisfied with her performance in that match.
Trends
СтавкаTiebreak: yes
In four out of five most recent matches of Fernandez at New York tiebreaks were played
СтавкаFirst set: total under 9.5
In three out of five most recent matches of Sabalenka at US Open no more than nine games were played in the first set
Tip and bets
Leylah Fernandez made everyone respect her with a great performance at US Open, she surprised her opponents with an offensive style of play. We shouldn't underestimate Canadian player in our prediction. Moreover, Sabalenka never reached the final of Grand Slam tournament in her career, so Belarusian player won't have a significant advantage over her opponent on that front. We think that Fernandez won't leave the court without a fight, so she will probably hold on to a plus handicap on games.
Our prediction - Fernandez to win with a handicap of (+5) games
As we said, we are expecting a close match here. We should look up to history of Fernandez' matches. In four out of five matches of US Open Fernandez played tiebreaks, in three of them a set exchange took place. We offer to place a bet on total over in an upcoming semi-final match.
Our second bet is on total over 20 games
