LiontipsAslan Karatsev vs Jenson Brooksby. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP US Open (September 4, 2021).
Command Analysis
After a fiery start to the season, Karatsev went into a downturn. The Russian looked decent on clay, but lost all his matches on grass and hasn't shown much improvement on hard courts either. In the last month, Karatsev earned only one victory: over Tommy Paul at the Olympic Games in Tokyo. Karatsev's path to the third round of the US Open was tough. He outplayed Jaume Munar in the first match (7-5, 1-6, 6-3, 6-2), and then snatched a victory from Jordan Thompson (3-6, 3-6, 7-5, 7-6, 6-1).
Brooksby is one of the highlights of this season. The American proved himself at a tournament in Newport, where he was the runner-up. After that, Brooksby reached the semifinals at the Masters in Washington. These results helped the American tennis player to get into the top 100 of the ATP world ranking. He is currently ranked 99th. Brooksby won his first two matches at the US Open in four sets. First, Brooksby ousted Mikael Ymer (7-5, 6-2, 5-7, 6-3), and then he defeated Taylor Fritz (6-7, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
The opponents have played 3 tie-breaks at the current tournament.
Ставка1st set: total over 10,5 games
Brooksby played at least 12 games in the first set in 3 of his last 4 matches.
Tip and bets
Earlier this year, at Roland Garros, Karatsev confidently defeated Brooksby. But clay is not Brooksby's preferred surface. On hard, the American shows a more interesting game, and his recent results confirm that. We think that Brooksby will get revenge this time around. Karatsev is not ready for this tournament, he is making too many mistakes: for instance, he made 17 double faults in his two matches in New York.
Our prediction - Brooksby to win
Both tennis players lack consistency and have lost at least one set against their opponents at the US Open. We believe that this match will also have at least four sets and suggest betting on the total over.
Second wager – total over 36,5 games.
