LiontipsAndrey Rublev vs Frances Tiafoe. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP US Open (September 3, 2021).
Command Analysis
Rublev did not have strong opponents in the first two rounds, but nevertheless, the Russian experienced some problems, especially in the match against Pedro Martinez. The Spaniard managed to take the second set to a tie-break, and he won it. However, this only made Rublev angry, and he ruthlessly won the following two sets (7-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-1). In the first round, Rublev went against Ivo Karlovic and got a straight-set win over the Croatian veteran (6-3, 7-6, 6-3).
Tiafoe's campaign hasn't been flawless either. The American has difficulties in the first round against his compatriot Eubanks. Tiafoe lost one set to him on a tie-break but then recovered (7-6, 5-7, 6-3, 6-4). In the second round, Tiafoe faced Pella, and the Argentine lost in three sets, putting up a fight only in the last set (6-1, 6-2, 7-5).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Tiafoe has played 3 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Under 9.5 games were played in the first set in 4 of Rublev's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Tiafoe is significantly weaker at the baseline. Rublev is very quick, sometimes too quick even for much stronger players than Tiafoe. We believe that the American player will not be able to put up a fight.
Our prediction - Rublev to win with a handicap of (-4.5) games
We don't believe this will be a long match. Tiafoe has a power serve, but that is not a very big advantage against Rublev on hard. Tiafoe might win one set, but not more than that. We suggest betting on the total under.
Second prediction - total under 39.5 games.
