LiontipsKwon Soonwoo vs Reilly Opelka. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP US Open (August 31, 2021).
Command Analysis
Kwon is regarded as a hard court specialist. The Korean tennis player has appeared on this surface 273 times in his career, and he won 171 of these matches. However, Kwon Soonwoo hasn't been very successful lately. He has celebrated victory only in one match after the end of the grass part of the tour. Last week Kwon defeated Radu Albot in Winston-Salem (6-2, 7-5). He failed to go past Pablo Carreno Busta in the second round (3-6, 6-3, 4-6), and earlier this month Kwon lost to Frances Tiafoe (3-6, 2-6) and Tommy Paul (3-6, 2-6).
Opelka had a terrible start to the 2021 tour. For the first four months, he couldn't achieve any positive results. But at the Masters in Rome, he finally managed to win several matches and was stopped only by Rafal Nadal in the semifinals. And recently Opelka had another upsurge. He was the runner-up at the Masters in Toronto. On his way to the final, Opelka defeated Nick Kyrgios, Roberto Bautista Agut, Lloyd Harris, Grigor Dimitrov, and Stefanos Tsitsipas. But in the deciding battle, he lost to Daniil Medvedev (4-6, 3-6).
Trends
СтавкаEach player to win a set - yes
In 3 of the last 4 matches of Opelka, the opponents exchanged winning sets.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In the last 4 matches of the Korean tennis player, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Bookmakers don't really believe in Kwon's victory, but we think that the Korean will be able to impose a fight on Opelka. Hard is Kwon's favourite surface, plus he has a very powerful serve. In the last two matches, Kwon hit 13 aces. Opelka is not an outstanding returner, but he comes to the Major well-prepared. This match is not likely to end quickly.
Our prediction - total over 38.5 games.
Opelka often loses a set to his opponents, especially recently, so we think that Kwon will be able to win at least one set. We suggest playing a positive handicap to the Korean athlete.
Second prediction - handicap (+5.5) games to Kwon Soonwoo.
