LiontipsMatteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger Aliassime. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Cincinnati (August 19, 2021).
Command Analysis
Berrettini had a very tough first match in Cincinnati. He lost a set to the Spaniard Albert Ramos and played two tie-breaks (6-7, 6-3, 7-5). But we know that it often takes time for the Italian tennis player to gain momentum. Once he's got it, Berrettini is hard to stop.
Berrettini's previous appearance was at Wimbledon. In London, the Italian had a great run and reached the final, where he lost to Novak Djokovic.
After a successful performance at Wimbledon, Auger Aliassime has been in a downturn. He hasn't got good results on hard so far: in Washington, Auger Aliassime lost to Jenson Brooksby, in Toronto - to Dusan Lajovic. Moreover, at the Tokyo Olympics, he couldn't pass Max Purcell, who is ranked 205th in the ATP world ranking.
But we see improvement in Cincinnati. Auger Aliassime ousted Marton Fucsovics (7-6, 6-3) and Karen Khachanov (6-7, 6-3, 6-4) in the first two rounds.
Trends
СтавкаTotal over 2.5 sets
In the last four matches of Berrettini, the opponents have exchanged winning sets.
Ставка1st set: total over 10.5 games
In the last three matches of the Italian, at least 12 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Auger Aliassime is a convenient opponent for Berrettini. The Italian tennis player has defeated him twice. We don't think that the Canadian will be able to create problems for Berrettini. We are not convinced by his recent performance and think that Berrettini will win.
Our prediction – handicap (-2) games to Berrettini.
Auger Aliassime has put up a fight against Berrettini before thanks to his good serve. Berrettini needs time to gain momentum, so we think that the Canadian has a chance to win a set or at least tire Berrettini out.
Second prediction - total over 22.5 games.
