LiontipsLorenzo Sonego vs Stefanos Tsitsipas. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Cincinnati (August 19, 2021).
Command Analysis
After a failure at the Tokyo Olympics and the Canadian Open, Sonego finally got some good results in Cincinnati. At this tournament, the Italian tennis player passed two rounds, beating the young Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz (6-3, 7-6), and then eliminating Tommy Paul (7-6, 6-2).
Earlier this year, Sonego already played against Tsitsipas on hard. He lost to the Greek in the Round of 16 at the Masters in Miami (2-6, 6-7).
Tsitsipas was considered one of the main favorites to win the tournament in Toronto last week. His performance turned out to be underwhelming: not only he failed to win the trophy, Tsitsipas did not even make it to the semifinals, eliminated by Reilly Opelka (7-6, 6-7, 4-6).
It looks like he learned from this mistake, as in Cincinnati Tsitsipas looks better. In his opener, Tsitsipas left no chance to the American Sebastian Korda (7-6, 6-3).
Tip and bets
There is no doubt that Sonego is a brilliant tennis player, but he has little chance on hard, especially against Tsitsipas. Sonego isn't showing impressive results on hard courts. For example, last week in Toronto, he suffered a devastating defeat from Ugo Humbert (3-6, 4-6). We believe that Tsitsipas will get a landslide victory, just like he did in Miami earlier this year.
Our prediction - Tsitsipas to win with a handicap (-4) games.
In the previous head-to-head match, the athletes played 21 games. It is unlikely that Sonego will have more success today. We believe that this will be a short match.
Second wager - total under 22.5 games.
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Trends
СтавкаTotal under 2.5 sets
The minimum number of sets was played in 3 out of 4 last matches of Tsitsipas.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
Tsitsipas played no more than nine games in the first set in 3 of his last 4 matches.