LiontipsCasper Ruud vs Diego Schwartzman. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Cincinnati (August 19, 2021).
Command Analysis
Ruud looked great on the slowest surface and won four tournaments on clay courts, plus was the runner-up in another two. These results put him on the 11th line of the ATP world ranking.
But the Norwegian tennis player can't boast such success on hard. Still, he has won a few important matches, for example, in Toronto over Marin Cilic (6-3, 3-6, 6-3) and Dusan Lajovic (6-4, 6-3). In Cincinnati, Ruud defeated Reilly Opelka (6-7, 6-0, 7-6).
Schwartzman is inconsistent, but every now and then he plays a great match. It is rare for the Argentine to keep control of the match, and that's why he plays a lot of three-setters. For instance, last week Schwartzman lost to Roberto Bautista Agut in Toronto (3-6, 6-3, 5-7), and here in Cincinnati, he outplayed Dan Evans (6-2, 4-6, 6-3) and Frances Tiafoe (6-1, 4-6, 6-4).
Two years ago, the Argentine passed two rounds in Cincinnati and lost to Richard Gasquet in the last 16.
Trends
СтавкаTotal over 2.5 sets
The maximum number of sets was played in the last three matches of Schwartzman.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In the last 3 matches of Schwartzman, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Schwartzman is a very inconvenient opponent for Ruud. He beat the Norwegian player four times. Moreover, last year at this tournament Schwartzman defeated Ruud with a score of 7-6, 6-3. Ruud's style is similar to the actions of Schwartzman. Previous defeats will probably put pressure on Ruud, so it will be very difficult for him to stop the Argentine.
Our prediction - Schwartzman to win.
The matches between these two players are often very intense. In 3 out of 5 latest matches, they played over 20,5 games. Considering they both are in good shape, we suggest betting on the total over.
Second wager – total over 20,5 games.
