LiontipsBelinda Bencic vs Marketa Vondrousova. Predictions and Betting Tips for Summer Olympics
Command Analysis
Before the start of Olympic tournament Belinda Bencic was not considered a favourite of this competition. Moreover, Swiss player was an underdog in four out of five matches on her way to the final. But she managed to reach the final against all odds.
Only in first two rounds of Tokyo tournament Bencic managed to beat Pegula and Doi in straight sets. After she needed to play matches with three sets to get to the final.
In the third round of the Olympics Bencic recorded a comeback victory over the winner of 2021 Roland Garros Barbora Krejcikova (1:6, 6:2, 6:3). With that victory Belinda made a huge sensation.
In the semi-final she also managed to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, who was playing great on that tournament (6:0, 3:6, 6:3). Semi-final match against Elena Rybakina also was not easy. In the first set Bencic managed to comeback from a 2:5 score and then to come back in the game after a loss in the second set (7:6, 4:6, 6:3).
Marketa Vondrousova got to the Olympics, using the protected rankings. Doing so, she left another member of Czech women's national team Karolina Muchova out of the tournament. It was not a mistake though.
Czech player lost only one set on her way to the final, so she has a lot of energy left. It is a crucial factor, especially in such difficult weather conditions. That only set was lost by Marketa in the first round match against Kiki Bertens (6:4, 3:6, 6:4).
After that Czech player managed to beat all of her opponents with a 2:0 score on sets. One of them was Naomi Osaka in the round of 16 (6:1, 6:4).
Semi-final match against Elina Svitolina was an easy one for Marketa (6:3, 6:1). Only in the beginning of first set there were signs of contest.
Trends
СтавкаSets total over 2.5
Bencic and Vondrousova played three sets on their most recent head-to-head match. Also three Belinda's matches at Tokyo ended in three sets
СтавкаFirst set: total under 9.5
In four out of five Bencic's matches in Tokyo no more than nine games were played in the first set
СтавкаBencic's first serve percentage under 60.5
In three out of five Bencic's matches on the Olympics her first serve percentage was under 60%
Tip and bets
In 2021 finalists of the Olympics played against each other on a hard tournament in Miami. Vondrousova recorded a victory in that match in three sets. We think that Czech player will have more chances for a golden medal in Tokyo. Marketa played more confidently during the tournament and kept some energy for the final.
Our prediction - Vondrousova to win
It is probably the most important match in both players' careers. We don't think that someone will leave the court without a fight. In the H2H match of the current year they played for 30 games. We are also offering a bet on total over.
Our second bet is on total over 21 games
