LiontipsNikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Sonego. Prediction and Betting Tips for Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (July 26, 2021).
Command Analysis
Basilashvili started at the Tokyo Olympics with a convincing victory, which was expected from him. In the first round of the tournament, Nikoloz defeated the clay court specialist Roberto Carballes Baena. It took Nikoloz only two sets to defeat the Spanish tennis player (6-3, 6-2). But the matches ahead are more difficult, and it will be interesting to see how well Nikoloz can perform. This season he has already won the tournament on hard: the Qatar Open in March.
Sonego experienced serious problems right at the start of the Olympic tournament in Tokyo. In the first round, he was matched against Taro Daniel. If the Japanese tennis player managed to retain the advantage during the match, Sonego would have left the tournament immediately. However, luck was on Lorenzo's side: he outplayed his opponent in three sets of bitter struggle. The winner was decided by a tie-break in the third set (4-6, 7-6, 7-6).
Tip and bets
Sonego is the favourite of the match, but he didn't impress us with his performance in the first round. It is obvious that Lorenzo is not in the optimal form right now. Basilashvili looks more prepared for the tournament, and we believe that Nikoloz will be able to impose a fight on his Italian opponent.
Our prediction - Basilashvili to win with a handicap of (+3) games.
Sonego's progress to the second round is a miracle. His first match at the Olympics was underwhelming, Lorenzo is out of form, and we think he will struggle against the Georgian tennis player. This should be a long match.
Second bet - total over 22 games.
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Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Sonego has played 3 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
More than 9.5 games were played in the first set in 3 of Basilashvili's last 5 matches.