Casper Ruud vs Federico Coria. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Bastad (July 18, 2021).

Command Analysis

Ruud had a rather easy campaign at the tournament in Bastad. In his opener, he effortlessly beat the young Danish player Holger Rune. Casper only lost two games in the match (6-0, 6-2). In the quarterfinals, Ruud didn't even have to play - his opponent Henri Laaksonen was a no-show due to injury. And in the semifinal match, Casper scored a victory over Roberto Carballes Baena in straight sets (6-1, 6-4).

Coria had a more difficult path to the final. In the first round, Federico defeated Francisco Cerundolo (6-4, 6-4). After that, he had more challenging matches in which he lost sets. First, the Argentine beat Marco Cecchinato (4-6, 6-4, 6-3), and then outplayed Christian Garin (6-4, 4-6, 6-2). In the semifinals, Coria won a landslide victory over the German athlete Yannick Hanfmann (6-2, 6-1).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Ruud has played two tie-breaks in the last five matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
Over 9.5 games were played in the first set in 4 of Coria's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Coria is an uncomfortable opponent for Ruud. He beat the Norwegian tennis player twice in his career and both times in straight sets. We believe that Coria has what it takes to win the decisive match at the Swedish Open.
Our prediction - Coria to win with a handicap of (+5) games
Both head-to-head matches were short and ended in straight sets. However, we do not think this will be the case today. Both players are approaching the upcoming confrontation in excellent shape and we believe that two sets won't be enough to determine the winner.
Second prediction - total over 20 games
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