LiontipsAlexander Bublik vs Kevin Anderson. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Newport (July 17, 2021).
Command Analysis
Bublik showed solid play on grass this season. He did not have any high-profile victories, but in general, Alexander showed stability and good results. In Eastbourne, he reached the quarterfinals and lost at Wimbledon in the third round. Probably the most important victories of the representative of Kazakhstan were over Grigor Dimitrov and Egor Gerasimov.
Bublik started his campaign at the tournament in Newport with a difficult victory over Ivo Karlovic. Despite that the Croatian player is already 42 years old, he still has a big serve. But Alexander cleverly took advantage of Ivo's mistakes and won with a score of 7-6, 4-6, 6-1. It was much easier in the second round: Bublik beat Jason Jung in straight sets (6-2, 6-4).
Anderson still cannot return to his former shape. After an injury, the South African athlete got noticeably worse. There was hope that Kevin would finally improve his performance on grass, but that didn't happen.
But despite recent setbacks, Anderson has been doing well in Newport. In the first two rounds, he had no major problems. First, Anderson ousted Ilya Marchenko (7-5, 6-3), and then defeated Sebastian Ofner (7-5, 7-6). In the last match, Kevin beat Jack Sock (6-7, 6-2, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Tie-breaks were played in 4 of Anderson's last 6 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 10.5 games
In 4 of Kevin's last 5 matches, at least 12 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Anderson does not convince us at all. His overall performance in this tour has been very shaky, for instance, he lost to Max Purcell, Denis Kudla, and Marius Copil on grass. Bublik hasn't had such blunders, and that's why we will bet on his victory. He must beat Anderson and advance to the final.
Our prediction - Alexander Bublik to win.
Anderson's serve is amazing. He hit 54 aces in three matches! His serve was only broken once, by Jack Sock. Bublik hit 36 aces at this tournament, but he also played only two matches. Alexander had too many double faults, which is a bit concerning. He takes many risks. Both opponents have a strong serve, and we believe that they will go over the total of 24.5 games.
Second prediction - total over 24.5 games.
