LiontipsRoberto Carballes Baena vs Norbert Gombos. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Bastad (July 16, 2021).
Command Analysis
Carballes Baena did not perform well last week in Salzburg, where he was knocked out in the second round. It looked like the Spaniard did not take that tournament seriously, because he plays like a different person in Bastad. In the first round, Roberto left no chances for Facundo Bagnis (6-2, 6-4), and in the second, he defeated Fabio Fognini (6-3, 1-6, 6-4).
The best result of the Spaniard in Bastad is the quarterfinals which he reached in 2019. Now Carballes Baena has a chance to improve this achievement.
Gombos is not a particularly strong player, so reaching the quarterfinals can already be considered a great achievement for the Slovak. He avoided any formidable opponents, so we are not very surprised to see him in the quarterfinals: in the first round, Norbet defeated Pablo Cuevas (1-6, 7-6, 6-2), and in the second he ousted Emil Ruusuvuori (6-2, 6-4).
We would like to add, that this year Gombos played 22 matches on clay and won 13 of them.
Trends
СтавкаTotal Over 2.5 Sets
In 3 of the last 4 matches of the Spaniard on clay, the opponents played three sets.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
In 4 of the last 5 matches of the Spaniard, at least ten games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Carballes Baena played well against Fabio Fognini. Roberto made fewer mistakes and acted more reliably on the baseline. We believe that the Spaniard deserves to play in the semifinals. He can outplay his next opponent. Gombos surely loses to Carballes Baena in terms of performance on clay.
Our prediction - Roberto Carballes-Baena to win
Gombos can create difficulties for the Spaniard. Carballes-Baena played three sets in 3 out of his last 4 matches. We believe this will be a long-lasting match, too.
Second wager - total over 21.5 games
