LiontipsFederico Coria vs Chris Garin. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Bastad (July 16, 2021).
Command Analysis
Lately, Coria has been paying more and more attention to different Challengers. This is going well for him, and there is no reason for him to change this strategy. Over the past month, the Argentine has won tournaments in Prostejov and Milan and also played in the final in Salzburg last week. Coria lost in the decisive match to Facundo Bagnis (4-6, 6-3, 2-6).
Federico won the first match in Bastad against Francisco Cerundolo (6-4, 6-4). But the second round was much more difficult for him. He started by losing a set to Marco Cecchinato but then turned the fight around (4-6, 6-4, 6-3).
Garin is back to the top 20 of the ATP rankings. His successful performance at the two Majors, Roland Garros and Wimbledon is the reason for that improvement: at both tournaments, the Chilean reached the last 16. But clay remains Garin's preferred surface, so we expect a lot from him in Bastad.
In Bastad, Chris got the second seed, so he skipped the first round. But in the second he had to play against the Spaniard Martinez. Chris won a landslide victory with a score of 6-3, 6-3.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Chris Garin played no tie-breaks' in his last four matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
In the last two head-to-head matches, no more than nine games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Coria is on a good run, but he is been playing for the second week in a row. He is probably tired and doesn't have much strength left in him. That gives Garin an excellent chance to get to the semifinals without too much struggle. Even though previously the tennis players have exchanged winning sets, we do not think this will be the case today. The Chilean should easily pass his tired opponent.
Our prediction - Garin to win with the handicap (-3)
Garin's victory over Martinez was very confident. He left the Spaniard no chance, beating him 6-3, 6-3. Given that Corea has been playing for two weeks in a row, this match probably will follow a similar scenario.
Second prediction - total under 22.5 games
