LiontipsDusan Lajovic vs Pablo Carreno Busta. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Hamburg (July 16, 2021).
Command Analysis
Lajovic performed well in Hamburg in 2020. Last year, Dusan beat Adrian Mannarino and Karen Khachanov but lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals. This time the Serb is luckier with the tournament grid, as his opponents are not as strong. In the first round, Dusan defeated Lucas Pouille in straight sets (6-4, 6-4), and in the second, he sent Alex Molchan home (6-4, 6-7, 6-3).
In general, we must say that this has not been a good year for Lajovic: he lost 17 out of 29 matches he played.
The last timeCarreno Busta played in Hamburg was in 2019. Two years ago, the Spaniard reached the semifinals, where he lost Andrei Rublev in a bitter struggle. But this time the Russian is not playing here, so the Spaniard may expect better results. He also was fortunate with the tournament grid, and theoretically can get to the final without too much struggle.
Pablo skipped the first round, as he got the second seed. His first opponent was his compatriot Carlos Taberner. Not without problems, but Carreno-Busta managed to outplay him with a score of 7-5, 6-3.
Tip and bets
Carreno-Busta gave an unconvincing performance in his first match at this tournament. Pablo lost his serve three times and managed to beat his compatriot Taberner only on class. Considering that the tennis players had played three sets in all their head-to-head matches on clay, we propose to play a positive handicap on Lajovic.
Our prediction - handicap (+4.5) games to Dusan Lajovic
Most of the matches between these players were tense and ended in three sets. Also, Lajovic's played three sets in his last match. That is why we will make our second bet on the total over 21.5 games.
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Trends
СтавкаTotal Over 2.5 Sets
Three sets were played in the last four head-to-head matches on clay.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
In 4 of the last 5 matches of the Spaniard, at least ten games were played in the first set.