LiontipsBenoît Paire vs Juan Pablo Varillas. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Hamburg (July 15, 2021).
Command Analysis
Paire has been utterly disappointing this season. He has lost almost every match in the tour, having scored 4 wins against 20 defeats. It is hard to say how motivated Paire is to play in Hamburg. In the first round of the tournament, Benoit was matched against Ricardas Berankis, but the opponent withdrew from the match due to a leg injury while the score in the first set was tied at 6-6.
Varillas has been playing almost all of his matches on clay this season. Juan Pablo played one match on grass, but it went as you'd expect - in the first round of Wimbledon qualification, he lost to Zhizhen Zhang (1-6, 1-6). At the current tournament in Hamburg, Varillas has already played three matches. In the qualification rounds, he beat Jonas Forejtek (7-5, 6-2) and Sebastian Baez (6-2, 3-6, 7-6). In the main draw, the Peruvian tennis player absolutely destroyed Sumit Nagal (6-0, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Varillas has played only one tie-break in the last five matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
More than 9.5 games have been played in the 1st set in 3 of Paire's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Varillas probably wants to climb up in the world rankings, so it is in his best interest to perform well at the current tournament in Hamburg. He has already passed qualifying and the first round, which means he already feels comfortable at the local courts. We believe that Varillas will be able to defeat Paire, as the French player has shown nothing this season.
Our prediction - Varillas to win with a handicap (-3)
A lot depends on Paire and his attitude. Benoit has only disappointed this season with his play and his results, so we don't believe in him. Varillas should close the match in two sets.
Second prediction - total under 22 games
