Fabio Fognini vs Roberto Carballes Baena. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Bastad (July 15, 2021).

Swedish Open. bastad-sweden
Fabio FogniniItaly
Roberto Carballes BaenaSpain
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Fabio Fognini - Roberto Carballes Baena
On July 15, Fabio Fognini enters the tournament in Bastad. He will face Roberto Carballes-Baena in his opening match. Will the Italian be able to win? Our answer is in the prediction below.

Command Analysis

Fabio Fognini

In 2018, Fognini won the Swedish Open. But we must say, that he got a bit lucky with his opponents back then. In almost all matches, he lost a set, but in the end, he prevailed. However, Fabio missed the following tournaments in Bastad. But this year he is back.

Fognini has played 14 matches on clay this year and won seven of them. The Italian cannot boast stability in his game. But he lost to really strong clay players: Jaume Munar, Bernabe Zapata, and Laslo Djere.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Carballes Baena performed at the Swedish Open in 2019. Two years ago, the Spaniard managed to beat Jaume Munar and Damir Džumhur, but he lost to Albert Ramos in the quarterfinals. This, by the way, was Roberto's best result in Bastad.

This time, Carballes Baena arrived in Bastad right after Salzburg, where he failed to achieve good results. In Austria, Roberto unexpectedly lost to Blaz Rola (7-5, 2-6, 6-7). Perhaps the Spaniard wasn't very focused, because his first match in Bastad was much better: Roberto ousted the strong Argentine Bagnis (6-2, 6-4).

Trends

СтавкаTie-break - no

The Spaniard hasn't played tie-breaks in 3 of his last 4 matches.

1.491xbet

Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games

In 4 out of the last 6 matches of Roberto, at least ten games were played in the first set.

1.851xbet

Tip and bets

TipCarballes Baena to win
2.26

Fognini is deservedly considered a favourite in this matchup. But the Italian has already failed at similar tournaments this season, so we are not sure what brought Fabio to Sweden. For example, in Marbella, he lost to Munar without a fight (1-6, 2-6).

In the first match of the tournament, Carballes Baena showed a good game. If Fabio can't find his game, he will just give up, and this will be a pleasure cruise for Roberto. Given Fognini's temper, we suggest taking a chance.

Our prediction - Roberto Carballes-Baena to win.

Did you like the tips?
TipTotal over 22,5
1.88

In 2018, 3 of Fognini's 4 matches in Bastad ended after three sets. Considering that the Italian often loses concentration, we believe that the Spaniard will at the very least put up a fight.

Second wager - total over 22.5 games.

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips46
% of profit2.11%
Win percentage54.35%
Average coefficient1.84
Wins54.35%  (25)
Refunds10.87%  (5)
Loses34.78%  (16)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)