LiontipsNikoloz Basilashvili and Sebastian Baez. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Hamburg (July 14, 2021).
Command Analysis
Basilashvili traditionally plays well in Germany. For example, this season Nikoloz managed to win the tournament in Munich at the end of April. In Hamburg, Basilashvili was the champion twice - in 2018 and 2019. With such good stats, the representative of Georgia should show solid results at the current tournament, too. Moreover, he was quite lucky with the draw - he can get Tsitsipas as his opponent only in the semifinals.
Baez is the lucky loser at this tournament. So far, he has taken full advantage of the chance that was granted to him. In the first round of the main draw, Sebastian was matched against Corentin Moutet, and the Argentine won in straight sets (6-1, 6-2). This confident victory shows, that Baez is not to be underestimated. Sure, he lacks the experience of playing at such big tournaments, but he is definitely capable of making any player nervous.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Baez has played 3 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Basilashvili has played less than 9.5 games in the 1st set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Basilashvili obviously is the more experienced player in this matchup. The experience is what should bring victory to the Georgian athlete. Baez, of course, can put up a fight, but we doubt that he can outplay Nikoloz.
Our prediction is Basilashvili to win.
It makes sense to count on a long confrontation. Yes, Basilashvili is more experienced than Baez, but the Argentine has already played three matches at the current tournament, so he has a better feel of the local courts. We believe that it is worth playing a total over.
Second wager - total over 21 games.
