LiontipsJiri Vesely vs Salvatore Caruso. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Bastad (July 13, 2021).
Command Analysis
Vesely has been playing quite poorly lately. The Czech's results are getting worse: Jiri has played 25 matches this season and won only ten of them. That led to him dropping to 81st place in the ATP world ranking. If change doesn't happen soon, he will leave the top 100. The latest victories were earned by Jiri on grass - by the way, three weeks ago in Mallorca, he beat the same Caruso in straight sets (7-6, 6-2). But clay is more challenging for Vesely, for example, he lost his last match on clay to Tobias Kamke (3-6, 4-6).
Until recently, the Italian tennis player was in a deep crisis. Caruso lost seven matches in a row, winning only one set in all of them. But at the Challenger in Perugia, everything changed: Caruso managed to reach the semifinals, beating Luca Vanni (7-6, 6-4), Francesco Forti (6-4, 6-4), and Flavio Cobolli (6-4, 3-6, 6-3). But in the semifinals, Salvatore lost to the Argentine Echeverri (5-7, 7-5, 2-6). The latest results put Caruso in 96th place in the ATP ranking, while at his best Salvatore was ranked 76th.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
Caruso hasn't played tie-breaks in his last three matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In the last four matches of the Italian, at least ten games have been played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Vesely beat Caruso twice, but that was on fast surfaces. On clay, the Italian will have a good chance to win. We believe that Caruso will be able to use that chance since recent Vesely's results have not been impressive at all. Salvatore at the very least should put up a fight.
Our prediction - handicap (+3) games to Salvatore Caruso
Both players have been on a downturn lately, and we believe that the head-to-head match will be a long one. In 3 out of 4 of Caruso's previous matches, the opponents played at least 23 games. The upcoming match shouldn't be an exception.
Second prediction - total over 20.5 games
