LiontipsMatteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkacz. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Wimbledon (July 9, 2021).
Command Analysis
It looks like Berrettini is at the peak of his game form. He is performing excellently in his matches and is a way closer to the final of the Major than ever been. Matteo has just a match to the final.
Berrettini's Wimbledon campaign went very smoothly, without any serious setbacks. He played five matches and didn't give his opponents any real chances for success. In total, Berrettini lost only two sets, to Guido Pella and Felix Auger-Aliassime. But Matteo was easily the strongest player.
Hurkacz is also having a great tournament. The Polish tennis player failed the clay part of the season and actually didn't look so great on grass just before Wimbledon. But at the Major, he completely transformed.
In the first three rounds, Hurkacz left no chances for Musetti, Bublik, and Giron. Those opponents, of course, weren't weak, but we wouldn't call them particularly challenging either. But then Hubert sent Medvedev and Federer home. Moreover, in the match against the Russian, Hurkacz earned a strong-willed victory after losing 1-2 in sets. And the 8-time champion of Wimbledon Federer was defeated in straight sets.
Trends
СтавкаBreaks: over 4.5
There were at least five breaks in 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches.
СтавкаDouble faults: over 5.5
In 4 of the Italian's last 5 matches, there were six double faults.
Ставка1st set: total under 10.5
In the last five matches of Berrettini, no more than ten games have been played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Hurkacz definitely surprised the spectators with his performance at this tournament, but Berrettini is probably the most difficult opponent for Hubert yet. The Italian makes very few mistakes, his game is always very calculated: serve, forehand, move. It will be incredibly difficult for Hurkacz to cope with such an opponent.
Berrettini's returns are more aggressive, and we think this will make a difference, as Hurkacz serve is not ideal. The Italian should take advantage of this.
Our prediction - Matteo Berrettini to win with the handicap (-3)
Hurkacz can impose a fight on Berrettini. But he is unlikely to win more than one set. The Italian is stronger in almost all components of the game, and he should end this match quick enough.
Second prediction - total under 44.5 games
