LiontipsMatteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger-Aliassime. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Wimbledon (July 7, 2021).
Command Analysis
After returning to the tour, Berrettini has been improving his form. The Italian is playing better with every month and now Matteo has every chance to reach the Wimbledon semifinals. Berrettini demonstrated good tennis on grass at the London Open: he won the tournament, beating Cameron Norrie in the final (6-4, 6-7, 6-3).
At Wimbledon, Berrettini has lost only one set so far - in the first round to Guido Pella (6-4, 3-6, 6-4, 6-0). In the other matches, Matteo defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp (6-3, 6-4, 7-6), Aljaž Bedene (6-4, 6-4, 6-4), and Ilya Ivashka (6-4, 6-3, 6-1).
Auger-Aliassime had a hard time on clay this season, but the Canadian athlete shows an excellent game on the grass. Before the start of Wimbledon, Felix played in the semifinals of the Halle Open and also in the Stuttgart Open final. This was a very helpful rehearsal before the Major.
In the first matches, Auger-Aliassime did not have any problems. He beat Thiago Monteiro in straight sets (6-3, 6-3, 6-3), and then outplayed Mikael Ymer (6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-1). Felix did not finish the third-round match, because after the second set his opponent Nick Kirgios refused to continue the fight.
The most striking match of Auger-Aliassime at Wimbledon was the duel with Alexander Zverev. The Canadian managed to squeeze the victory in the fifth set (6-4, 7-6, 3-6, 3-6, 6-4).
Trends
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
In 4 out of Berrettini's last 5 matches, at least ten games have been played in the first set.
СтавкаTie-break - No
The Canadian athlete hasn't played tie-breaks in 5 of his last 8 matches.
Tip and bets
No one should underestimate Auger-Aliassime, but it is unlikely that he will create problems for the Italian athlete. Matteo has a big serve and a killer forehand, he is more aggressive. In addition, it is more stable and makes fewer mistakes. We believe that Matteo will not face any particular difficulties in this matchup.
Our prediction - Matteo Berrettini to win with the handicap (-4)
This probably will not be an equal fight. Auger-Aliassime might win a set, but we wouldn't count on more. We believe that the opponents will not go over 42.5 games.
Second prediction - total under 42.5 games
