LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Wimbledon (July 1, 2021).
Command Analysis
Alcaraz was lucky with an opponent in the first round of Wimbledon. Initially, the Spaniard was supposed to play against Tommy Paul, but at the last moment, the American withdrew from the tournament. He was replaced by Yasutaka Uchiyama. Even though Yasutaka is ranked 116th, he created a lot of problems for Carlos. It took Alcaraz five sets to beat the Japanese player (6-3, 6-7, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3).
This was the first match on grass for the 18-year-old Spaniard. On clay, Alcaraz is making great progress and has already won quite a few Challengers. But on faster surfaces, he still does not show good results.
Medvedev flew to London directly from Mallorca, where he won the tournament last week. In Spain, Daniel beat Corentin Moutet (6-4, 6-2), Casper Ruud (7-5, 6-1), Pablo Carreno-Busta (3-6, 6-3, 6-2), and Sam Querrey ( 6-4, 6-2). Having gained an excellent form, the Russian defeated German Struff in the first round of Wimbledon (6-4, 6-1, 4-6, 7-6). He took revenge on Jan-Lennard for his recent defeat in Halle: back then, he lost 3-6, 6-7.
Medvedev has not yet gone further than the third round at Wimbledon. In 2019, he lost to David Goffin.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
No tie-breaks were played in 4 of Medvedev's last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 4 of the last 5 appearances of the Russian, at least ten games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
It is unlikely that Alcaraz will be able to put up a fight against Medvedev. He lacks experience, and, as the previous match showed, Carlos does not yet know how to play on grass. He beat Uchiyama, but in the confrontation with the World №2, he has little chance.
Our prediction - Daniil Medvedev to win with the handicap of (-6.5) games
Medvedev has come to Wimbledon well-prepared. Most likely, it won't be difficult for him to beat Alcaraz. Last week, he did not lose a single set to Casper Ruud and Sam Querrey, and those tennis players perform on grass much more successfully than the young Spaniard.
Second prediction - total under 35.5 games
