LiontipsDenis Kudla vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Wimbledon (June 28, 2021).
Command Analysis
Kudla regularly performs at Wimbledon but has had no particular success. The exception was 2015 when the American reached the fourth round of the tournament. Back then Denis was in excellent shape and demonstrated his best game.
However, lately, Kudla hasn't been so impressive. Most of the time, he plays at various challengers, and currently occupies 114th place in the world rankings. This position does not allow him to get directly to the Majors, so Denis had to play in qualification rounds. Kudla won it, beating Andrea Pellegrino (6-4, 6-2), Kacper Zuk (7-6, 6-4), and Federico Gaio (6-2, 7-5, 6-4).
Davidovich Fokina looked great on clay. First of all, Alejandro had a great run at Roland Garros, where he reached the quarterfinals. A number of successful performances allowed the Spaniard to break into the top 40 of the world rankings: he occupies 35th place now. However, the 22-year-old player plays very little on grass courts. For example, this season he only appeared at the Eastbourne Open. After defeating Mikael Ymer (7-5, 6-1), he did not finish his match against Vasek Pospisil. He withdrew from the competition when the score was 7-6 in favor of the Canadian.
In 2019, Davidovich Fokina tried to qualify for Wimbledon but lost to the Japanese Watanuki in the first round.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - no
No tie-breaks have been played in 5 of the American's last 7 matches on grass.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5
In 5 of Kudla's last 6 matches on grass, at least ten games have been played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Davidovich Fokina is good at playing on clay, but this does not mean that he plays poorly on grass. Alejandro is gradually becoming a versatile tennis player who shows good results on any surface. For example, in 2020, he reached the Round of 16 at the US Open, and also performed excellently at a number of indoor tournaments.
Kudla has a class disadvantage and he is too direct a player, too dependent on his serve. Denis has problems whenever he can't control his serve. We believe the Spaniard will take advantage of the American's weaknesses and win.
Our prediction - Davidovich to win.
These tennis players do not show a lot of stability. When they can't find their game, either can lose a game without scoring any points at all. Kudla recently had a similar experience in Nottingham when he lost one of the games with a score of 1-6. Given this, we doubt that the match will last long.
Second wager - total under 39.5 games.
