LiontipsMax Purcell vs Lorenzo Sonego. Prediction and Betting Tips for Eastbourne International (June 25, 2021).
Command Analysis
Purcellhas been very lucky at this tournament. He had not shown impressive results before: in 2021, Max played only a few matches, so he is on the 284th line of the world rankings. Last week in Nottingham, the Australian was crushed by Alexander Vukich (1-6, 1-4), so no one really believed in Max's success.
In Eastbourne, Purcell failed to qualify, losing to Ilya Ivashka in the decisive match (7-6, 2-6, 1-6). But he was named the lucky loser, and Max took that opportunity and defeated James Duckworth (6-2, 3-6, 7-6), Gael Monfils (6-4, 5-7, 6-4) and Andreas Seppi (6 -4, 1-6, 6-4).
Sonego performed poorly at the tournament in London, losing in the first round to Viktor Troicki (6-4, 6-4). But it looks like the Italian is going to redeem himself for that defeat. In Eastbourne, Lorenzo has been showing an excellent game so far. In his first matches, he beat John Millman (6-4, 6-2) and Alexander Bublik (6-1, 7-5).
Sonego usually performs well on the grass. In 2019, he even won the tournament in Antalya. Back then Lorenzo outplayed Miomir Kecmanovic in the final.
Trends
СтавкаTotal Under 2.5 Sets
In the last three matches of Sonego, only two sets were played.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5 Games
In 4 of Purcell's last 5 matches, at least ten games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Purcell was very lucky at this tournament, but this can't carry on for much longer. The Australian has huge problems with his serve. In three matches of the main draw, he lost his serve 11 times. Thanks to the poor form of his opponents, he still managed to win, but this is unlikely to work in the match against Sonego.
Lorenzo rarely loses his serve. He only allowed the opponents to break it twice during the entire tournament. Sonego must confidently pass the Australian.
Our prediction - Lorenzo Sonego to win with the handicap of (-3.5) games.
In the previous match, Sonego defeated Bublik. Before that, the Italian confidently beat Millman. It is unlikely that Purcell will be able to create problems for him. Lorenzo just has to easily outplay this opponent.
Second wager - total under 22.5 games.
