LiontipsDaniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Mallorca (June 25, 2021).
Command Analysis
After the fiasco in Halle, where Medvedev unexpectedly lost to the German athlete Jan-Lennard Struff (3-6, 6-7), the Russian tennis player will try to give a better performance in Mallorca. So far he looks quite good here, and maybe he will even be able to win the title. Daniel won his first matches very confidently, beating Corentin Moutet (6-4, 6-2) and Casper Ruud (7-5, 6-1).
Medvedev normally is good on grass. For example, in 2019, he attended the semifinals of the tournament in London and also played in the third round of Wimbledon.
Carreno-Busta doesn't have any great results on grass. Until this season, the Spaniard won only 3 of 12 matches on this surface. He earned two of these victories in 2019 at the tournament in Antalya, when he reached the semifinals. However, back then he had much weaker opponents.
This year, the Spaniard played few matches on grass, but the first ones he won. In Mallorca, Pablo managed to outplay Jiří Veselý and Jordan Thompson. Both players were defeated with the same score (6-4, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTotal Under 2.5 Sets
In three head-to-head matches, the athletes played the minimum number of sets.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5 Games
In the last three matches of Medvedev, at least ten games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Medvedev has gained momentum and is just sweeping all his opponents out of the way. The Russian looks especially great in second sets, where he leaves no chance for his counterparts. In the previous round, Daniel defeated the Norwegian Casper Ruud, whose style of play is in some way similar to the style of Carreno-Busta. We believe that the favourite will confidently cope with Pablo.
Our prediction - Daniil Medvedev to win with the handicap of (-3.5) games.
In all head-to-head matches, the opponents played only two sets. Also, we must mention, that Medvedev confidently beats all his rivals at this tournament. We doubt that this will be a long match.
Second prediction - total under 22.5 games.
