LiontipsAryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA German Open
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka, who is currently ranked fourth on WTA rankings, won two titles in 2021, at Abu Dhabi and at Madrid tournaments. She also reached the final at Stuttgart. But Belarusian player was not so great on two other clay tournaments at Rome and at Paris.
At the Italian capital Aryna lost to Cori Gauff in the round of 16 (5:7, 3:6). At Roland Garros Sabalenka's path ended in the third round with a loss to Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (4:6, 6:2, 0:6). Aryna is having a hard time to remain on the consistent level throughout the whole season. Now she is approaching the grass part of the season, she is not so successful on that surface - 16 wins and 11 losses in career.
Just like her opponent, Madison Keys ended her path at Roland Garros in the third round. American player was beaten by Victoria Azarenka (2:6, 2:6).
In Berlin, Keys started from the first round and gained some practice on the grass. American played against the Polish player, Magdalena Frech. Madison recorded an easy win over her opponent (6:3, 6:4).
Trends
СтавкаFirst set: total under 9,5
Last four Keys' matches ended with a total under 9,5 games in the first set
СтавкаSets performance: 1>2
In last five Sabalenka's matches more games were played in the first set
Tip and bets
We think that Belarusian player will need some time to adapt to the grass surface. Keys already played one match on the grass, she has a powerful first serve, so she should be able to avoid a crushing defeat in this match.
Our prediction - Keys to win with a handicap of (+5) games
We are also expecting at least 20 games to be played in this match, there is also a high possibility of a set exchange. It won't be easy for Aryna to adapt to the grass surface after a long clay part of the season.
Our second bet is on total over 20 games
