LiontipsNovak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Roland Garros
Command Analysis
Djokovic was not very convincing in his last two matches at Roland Garros. Against Lorenzo Musetti, the Serb had to come back from losing two sets. In the quarterfinal against Matteo Berrettini, Novak also made some mistakes, although he won in four sets (6-3, 6-2, 6-7, 7-5). Of course, with such an unstable game, Djokovic can't count on a victory over Nadal. Although we all know that Novak is capable of improving his performance in a short period of time.
Nadal finally lost his first set at the current French Open. In the quarterfinal, the Spaniard lost a set to Diego Schwartzman. Nevertheless, there was no intrigue in the match - Rafa closed it in four sets, winning 6-0 in the last one. Nadal has gained good momentum by the very end of the competition. The only aspect of Rafa's performance that concerns us is his serve.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Djokovic has played three tie-breaks in his last four matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Nadal played under 9.5 games in the first set in 4 of his last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Nadal has a significant advantage. Of course, Djokovic can play against Rafa on clay, but the Spaniard played his previous matches at the tournament much more confidently than Novak.
In addition, in the previous tournament in Paris, Nadal defeated Djokovic in the final, beating him with a score of 6-0 in the first set and in total losing only nine games in the match. We don't believe in a miracle in this semifinal: most probably, Rafa will beat Djokovic in three sets again.
Our prediction is Nadal to win with a handicap (-5)
Beating Nadal on clay is almost impossible for any tennis player, including World №1 Novak Djokovic. The Spaniard is in perfect form and plays almost flawlessly on his favourite surface. It is unlikely that even Djokovic will be able to stop him.
Second prediction - total under 38 games
