LiontipsCasper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Geneva (May 22, 2021).
Command Analysis
Ruud continues his amazing clay campaign. In total, the Norwegian has won 14 matches on this surface, and he lost only four. Over the last two months, Casper played in the semi-finals of Monte Carlo, Munich, and Madrid. The Scandinavian also played in the quarterfinals of Marbella.
In Geneva, Ruud quite confidently won his matches. He beat Tennys Sandgren and Pablo Andujar in straight sets. He defeated the American 7-5, 6-2, and the Spaniard 6-3, 6-2. The only set he lost to Dominik Koepfer. But Ruud still won the other two sets (2-6, 6-1, 6-4).
The World №15 has not played well on clay this season. In Barcelona, Estoril, and Madrid, the Canadian athlete was eliminated in the second round. The exception is the Masters in Rome, where Shapovalov went through to the third round. But in the third round, he had to play against Rafael Nadal, and he lost to the King of the Clay (6-3, 4-6, 6-7).
Just like Ruud, Denis lost one set at the Geneva Open. In the first round, he lost a set to Marco Cecchinato (7-6, 5-7, 1-6). In the other two matches, Shapovalov beat Laslo Đere (6-4, 6-4) and Pablo Cuevas (7-5, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTotal sets under 2.5
Two sets have been played in Ruud's last 7 out of 8 matches.
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 4 of the last 6 Ruud's matches, at least ten games have been played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Shapovalov's last matches in Geneva were not easy. He had some troubles against Đere and Cuevas, and it will be even tougher to play against Ruud. The Norwegian is head and shoulders above the Serb and Uruguayan. He works much better on the baseline. His clay performance stats speak for themself.
We believe that Casper will take the title on his favourite surface. Our prediction is Casper Ruud to win.
Shapovalov is not an easy opponent. Despite not having the most successful results on clay, the Canadian never gives up. As a rule, he loses his matches in three sets. We believe that Denis will be able to impose a fight on Ruud. Most likely, this will be quite a long match.
Second prediction - total over 21.5 games
