LiontipsThiem vs Norrie. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Lyon (May 20, 2021).
Command Analysis
Thiem missed the start of the clay season and his first appearance was at the Madrid Open. Of course, the lack of playing practice affected the performance of the Austrian, and he didn't look very convincing in the Spanish capital. He beat Marcus Giron (6-1, 6-3), Alex de Minaur (7-6, 6-4), and John Isner (3-6, 6-3, 6-4) purely on class. But he could not outplay Alexander Zverev (3-6, 4-6).
Dominic's last tournament was in Rome, where he was knocked out already in the third round. After defeating Márton Fucsovics (3-6, 7-6, 6-0), Thiem lost to Lorenzo Sonego (4-6, 7-6, 6-7).
Norrie has really surprised us with his performance on clay this season. First, the Briton reached the quarter-finals in Barcelona, and after that, he played in the decisive match of Estoril Open. However, later Cameron lost that great pace and left Rome after the second round. After beating Roberto Carballes (6-4, 6-4), he was defeated by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-6, 3-6).
As for Lyon, Norrie once again started quite well: in the first round, the Cameron defeated the Frenchman Corentin Moutet (7-5, 6-3).
Trends
СтавкаTotal Sets Over 2.5
The maximum number of sets was played in 3 out of the last 4 matches of the Austrian player.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
In 3 of the last 4 matches of Norrie, at least ten games have been played in the first set.
Tip and bets
After his return, Thiem had only one landslide victory - over Marcus Giron. In the rest of the matches, the Austrian had some problems but still managed to win. We believe that in this match it will not be easy for him either. Norrie has gained excellent form, so he surely will make life difficult for the favorite.
Our prediction is Norrie to win with a handicap (+4.5) games
Back in 2018 in Acapulco, Thiem beat Norrie in three sets. Perhaps this time Norrie will not be able to win a set from the Austrian, but he will definitely try and fight for it. Considering Norrie's form, we believe that he will keep this game going for a while.
Second prediction - total over 21.5 games
