LiontipsNovak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Rome (May 16, 2021).
Command Analysis
Nadal's campaign in the current Masters in Rome hasn't been easy. In the starting games, the Spaniard had to work really hard to not get beaten by his opponents.
In the second round, Rafa won a difficult victory over the young Italian Jannik Sinner (7-5, 6-4), then there was a tough match against Denis Shapovalov (3-6, 6-4, 7-6), in which the Spaniard had to play two match points. But then Nadal gained momentum and dominated two games, first against Alexander Zverev (6-3, 6-4), and then Reilly Opelka (6-4, 6-4).
Djokovic also had a hard time on his way to the final. In the first round, Novak had a hard match against Taylor Fritz (6-3, 7-6), but then he easily defeated Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina in straight sets (6-2, 6-1).
But the quarterfinal and semifinal matches turned out to be really exciting and challenging for the Serbian player. To defeat Stefanos Tsitsipas, Djokovic had to spend more than three hours on the court (4-6, 7-5, 7-5), and in the semifinals, Novak also spent a lot of energy to beat Lorenzo Sonego (6-3, 6- 7, 6-2).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
The athletes have already played a tie-break each in the current tournament.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
Less than 9.5 games have been played in the first set in 3 of Djokovic's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
Nadal seems to have found his game in Rome. At the beginning of the tournament, Rafa had certain difficulties, but now the Spaniard feels very confident here. We believe that bookmakers rightfully favour Nadal in this match. We agree with them - Rafa must beat Djokovic today.
Our prediction is Nadal to win.
In the final of the Masters in Rome, World № 1 and №3 will face each other, and we believe it won't be easy for either. No one will be able to win quickly, and the ideal option for the second bet is total over. We expect a tough fight in the upcoming matchup.
Second prediction - total over 22 games
