LiontipsLorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Rome (May 14, 2021).
Command Analysis
Sonego fought his way to the quarterfinals. Only in one of the matches he got an easy win in two sets. In the second round, he beat Gianluca Mager (6-4, 6-4). But in other rounds it was not so easy for him, as his opponents were much stronger. First, Lorenzo outplayed Gael Monfils (6-4, 5-7, 6-4), and sent Dominic Thiem home (6-4, 6-7, 7-6) in the quarterfinals.
We must say, that Sonego feels comfortable on clay. This season he has already won the tournament in Cagliari. Then, he beat Laslo Đere in the final (2-6, 7-6, 6-4).
Rublev was looking somewhat lost lately. In Barcelona, the Russian lost to Jannik Sinner (2-6, 6-7), and in Madrid, he lost to John Isner (6-7, 6-3, 6-7). And he won the first match in Rome with difficulty. To defeat Jan-Lennard Struff, he needed three games (6-7, 6-1, 6-4). But in the third round, Andrey performed more confidently. In that match, he beat Roberto Bautista Agut (6-4, 6-4).
by the way, this is the best result of Rublev in his career. He had never played in the quarterfinals of Rome before.
Trends
СтавкаTotal Sets Under 2.5
In the last two head-to-head matches, the minimum number of sets was played.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
In the last four appearances of the Russian player, at least ten games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Rublev leads the head-to-head with a 2:0 score. We believe, that he will increase the margin today. The Russian played excellently in the match against Bautista Agut and left no chance for the Spaniard. Sonego isn't the player of the same class as Andrey's last rival. Probably even his home court won't help him.
Our prediction is Andrey Rublev to win with the handicap (-3.5) games.
In the previous two matches, Sonego lost to Rublev in straight sets. We think a similar scenario is awaiting us today. Andrey is a stronger player and should score a comfortable win which will take him to the semifinal.
Second prediction - total under 22.5 games
