Barty vs Shvedova. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Rome

Command Analysis

On May 8, at the final of Madrid tournament Ashleigh Barty's nine-game winning streak has come to its end. World No. 1 failed to claim the second title in a row after Stuttgart. String of victories was interrupted by Belarusian player Aryna Sabalenka (6:0, 3:6, 6:4).
Three days after the title match at Spain capital, Ashleigh Barty will start her way at Rome. At the Italian capital World No. 1 hasn't succeeded so far. She played here for the most recent time in year 2019 and unexpectedly lost to Mladenovic in the round of 16 (2:6, 3:6).

Yaroslava Shvedova had an almost three year break in tour. Kazakh player gave birth to twins in 2018. Comeback is so far going hard for Yaroslava. She played on eight tournaments and failed to win a single match.
At the first round of Rome tournament Shvedova also nearly lost to local player Trevisan, but managed to come back in the game during second set (0:6, 7:6, 7:6). Surely this hard fought win will gain some self-confidence to Yaroslava.
Trends
СтавкаSecond set: total over 7.5
In last four Shvedova's matches there were at least eight games played in the second set
СтавкаFirst set: total under 8.5
In two out of last three Barty's matches there were no more than eight games played in the first set
Tip and bets
We shouldn't expect that World No. 1 will lose in this match. Players are nowhere near each other at the current moment. But Shvedova might be able to snatch four or five games because of her experience. Plus Barty is unlikely to waste all of her energy at this stage. We recommend a bet on the underdog with plus handicap.
Our prediction - Shvedova to win with a handicap of (+8) games
In our prediction we expect Kazakhstani player to claim four or five games. In her two most recent tournaments Barty only once didn't let her opponent to claim that number of games, it was at Madrid, in a match against Shelby Rogers (6:1, 6:2).
Our second bet - total over 16 games







