LiontipsChelsea vs Arsenal. Prediction and Betting Tips for English Premier League (May 12, 2021).
Command Analysis
Chelsea showed character in the last round of the Premier League. While losing 0:1 to the leader Manchester City, Thomas Tuchel's team came back and got a strong-willed win with a score of 2:1. In general, under the German manager, Chelsea's performance has improved a lot. In the FA Cup, the Blues knocked out the same Manchester City in the semifinals. The team made it to the Champions League final. The only recent failure was the match against West Brom, which Chelsea lost at home with a score of 2:5.
After beating City in the last round, Chelsea advanced to the third line, moving Leicester aside. Now the Blues have 64 points, which is one point more than the Foxes. But the distance to the Red Devils and second place is seven points, and Man United have a game in hand, so it is hardly possible that Chelsea would be able to overtake them as well.
Chelsea have often lost points at home lately. In their five previous home games, apart from West Brom, the Blues were defeated by Everton and Fulham with the same score 2:0, and also they drew Manchester United (0:0) and Brighton (0:0). By the way, four out of seven latest home games of Chelsea ended with a 2:0 score.
Defender Andreas Christensen and midfielder Mateo Kovacic will miss the game due to injuries.
The Gunners have failed this season. The team is already out of all the English cups.Arsenal bet on winning the Europa League, which would have given them a ticket to Champions League, but that did not work either: in the second leg of the semi-final, Arsenal had a goalless draw with Villarreal, but they lost on aggregate.
The Premier League results don't look promising either. Arsenal are now only in eighth place, four points behind the seventh line which could take them to Europe. The competitors are all strong and unlikely to give way to Mikel Arteta's charges: West Ham, Liverpool, Tottenham, and Everton. The Toffees are three points ahead of the Gunners and have a game in hand.
Arsenal were quite successful in the last away games. They beat Leicester (3:1), Sheffield United (3:0), and Newcastle (2:0), and drew Burnley (1:1) and Everton (3:3). In terms of away performance, Arsenal are seventh in the Premier League. The Gunners won eight out of 17 away fixtures, drew three times, and lost six.
Defenders David Luiz and Pablo Mari, midfielder Granit Xhaka are injured. Emile Smith Rowe and Matthew Ryan might also have to sit out.
Trends
СтавкаGoal from 1' to 30' - yes
The teams have scored in the first 30 minutes in seven out of the previous nine head-to-head games at Chelsea in the EPL.
СтавкаDraw in the first half
Arsenal have not lost to Chelsea in the first half in six of their last seven games.
СтавкаCorrect score 3: 1
Chelsea have beaten Arsenal at home in six of their last eight league games.
Tip and bets
Both teams are extremely motivated. Chelsea will try to stay in the top three, while Arsenal will attempt to get into the European competition zone. In this regard, Arsenal needs a victory, while Chelsea would be happy with a draw. Away the Gunners prefer to sit back and catch the opponent on counterattacks, but now they will have to take risks. Chelsea, on the other hand, know how to exploit their opponents' mistakes.
Our prediction is Chelsea to win with a handicap (-1) goal
The teams will play carefully, probably until one of them scores. Then they will have to open up, and we believe that the lines of attack of both Arsenal and Chelsea allow us to expect a high-scoring game.
Second bet - total over 2.5 goals
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