LiontipsAlexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 9, 2021).
Command Analysis
It looks like Zverev completely recovered after the recent failure in Munich, and he approached the final of the tournament in the Spanish capital without losing a single set. And that is impressive if you think about what opponent the German player had on his way to the final match.
Zverev beat Rafael Nadal (6-4, 6-4) and Dominic Thiem (6-3, 6-4). Alexander's results vividly demonstrate that he is in great form.
Berrettini hasn't lost for eight matches. Before the start of the Madrid Open, he won the tournament in Belgrade, and now he is ready to take on Zverev in the Madrid final.
The only difficulty Matteo had during this tournament was in the quarter-final match against Cristian Garin. The Italian player lost a set to Garin (5-7, 6-3, 6-0). All of the other matches Berrettini won in straight sets: he beat Fabio Fognini (6-3, 6-4), Federico Delbonis (7-6, 6-4), and Casper Ruud (6-4, 6-4).
Trends
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
More than 9.5 games were played in the first set in 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches.
СтавкаTie-break - No
In four matches of this tournament, Zverev played a tie-break only once.
Tip and bets
We suggest giving preference to Zverev in this match. Alexander had stronger opponents than Berrettini during the tournament - in the quarter-final, he beat Nadal, and in the semi-final he outplayed Thiem. Zverev is in great form and we believe it will be him who will take the main trophy.
Our prediction is Zverev to win with a handicap (-2) games.
All three head-to-head matches finished in straight sets. We expect a similar scenario in the upcoming final. Zverev beat both Nadal and Thiem in two sets, and we believe he can also defeat Berrettini without giving him a set.
Our second bet is total under 24 games.
