LiontipsCasper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 8, 2021).
Command Analysis
Ruud knocked all his rivals out of the tournament without any problems: none of them could win a single set. In the first two matches, the Norwegian left no chances for Felix Auger Allassim (6-1, 6-4) and Yoshihito Nishioka (6-1, 6-2). Then he had more difficult opponents, but this did not scare the Scandinavian. Stefanos Tsitsipas (7-6, 6-4) and Alexander Bublik (7-5, 6-1) also had to leave the tournament.
It looks like the 22-year-old is becoming one of the best clay tennis players in the world. In April, he reached the Masters' semi-finals in Monte Carlo, now he did the same in Madrid. Such performance put Ruud in 22nd place in the world rankings.
In this tournament, Berrettini played one match less than Ruud, because he is rated 10th in the world, which allows him to skip the first round of the competition. This did not affect the quality of Matteo's game, he confidently beat Fabio Fognini (6-3, 6-4), Federico Delbonis (7-6, 6-4) and Chris Garin (5-7, 6-3, 6-0).
It is worth mentioning that two weeks ago Berrettini won the clay tournament in Belgrade. In the final, he beat the Russian player Karatsev (6-1, 3-6, 7-6).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - No
No tie-breaks were played in 3 of the last 4 matches of the Norwegian player.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
No more than nine games have been played in the first set in 5 of Ruud's last 7 matches.
Tip and bets
The last match between these two players took place last year in Rome. Then Ruud won in three sets. We believe that there will be a struggle this time, too. Both opponents approach this match in excellent game form. In addition, clay is considered the favourite surface by both Ruud and Berrettini. It is unlikely that any of them can easily beat another.
Our first prediction is total over 22.5 games.
Since a tough struggle is expected in this semi-final, we propose to bet on a positive handicap to Berrettini. With a strong serve and excellent forehand, the Italian can create a lot of problems for the Norwegian.
Second prediction - handicap to Matteo Berrettini (+2.5).
