LiontipsMatteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 7, 2021).
Command Analysis
Berrettini got through to the quarterfinals, but not without difficulties. The last opponent of the Italian was Federico Delbonis, who put up a proper fight against the favourite. Matteo won on class, but it wasn't easy (7-6, 6-4).
Let's not forget that the Italian missed a big part of the season due to injury. But to those who started forgetting about him after a long break, Berrettini reminded that he is a great tennis player in BelgradeHe won that tournament, beating Aslan Karatsev in the final (6-1, 3-6, 7-6).
In addition to the victory over Delbonis, in Madrid Matteo also defeated Fabio Fognini with a score of 6-3, 6-4.
In the Round of 16, Garin upset one of the main favourites of the tournament, Daniil Medvedev, knocking him out of the competition on quite an early stage. Garin completely outplayed the Russian on the baseline, and the victory was well-deserved (6-4, 6-7, 6-1).
The rest of the matches of this tournament were much easier for Cristian. In the first round, the Chilean left no chances for Fernando Verdasco (6-1, 6-4), and in the second he forced Dominik Koepfer out of the competition (6-3, 6-3).
Trends
СтавкаTotal Sets Over 2.5
The maximum sets were played in 3 of Garin's last 5 matches.
Ставка1st Set: Total Under 9.5 Games
In the last three matches of Garin, no more than nine games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
In 2019, Berrettini beat Garin in straight sets on hard. But on clay the Chilean will have a much better chance. Two years ago in Munich, Chris defeated the Italian in three sets. We believe that this match will also be a struggle. Matteo looked not so confident in the match against Delbonis, so we shouldn't expect an easy victory from him.
Our prediction is total over 22 games.
Garin is well prepared for this tournament. The Chilean has a good serve and acts well in break points. We believe that Garin will be able to outplay Berrettini. A plus handicap to Cristian looks very promising.
The second prediction is Garin to win with a handicap (+3.5) games.
