Sabalenka vs Mertens. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Madrid

Aryna Sabalenka
Belarus
Madrid Open
Finished1 : 0
61-й сет1
42-й сет0
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Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens
Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens will fight each other for the place in the semi-final of Madrid Open on May 5. How will the match between friends and doubles partners end? The answer is in our prediction

Command Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka is having a wonderful run at Madrid. Seventh-seeded player won three matches without any problems, she left no chance to Zvonareve (6:1, 6:2), Kasatkina (6:3, 6:3) and Pegula (6:1, 6:2). She played extremely efficient in every single game and lived up to bookmakers' expectations.

Sabalenka is an excellent server. She gave away only two games at her serve in three matches. She has also played great at the return of the serve and got many breaks from her opponents,

Her next match will be against a familiar player. Sabalenka won four out of six head-to-head games.

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens deserves a credit for reaching the quarter-final. Her two last matches were against tough opponents - Elena Rybakina (7:6, 7:5) and Simona Halep (4:6, 7:5, 7:5).

It's important that her last match against the Romanian player was going on for 2 hours and 36 minutes. She also played against Rybakina for more than two hours. She is obviously exhausted right now. Mertens also failed to be stable at her serve - she gave away 5 games at her serve to Kazakhstani player and seven - to Romanian.

Tip and bets

TipHandicap (-2.5) to Sabalenka
1.64

Aryna Sabalenka has three victories in the previous head-to-head games. Belarusian player also had a more confident run at Madrid tournament. We expect that Belarus representative will advance to the semi-finals with a solid win.

Our prediction - Sabalenka to win with a handicap of (-2.5) games

Will the prediction win?
TipTotal over 20
1.72

Players are friends in real life and successful double partners, so they know each others' playing style pretty good. We think that it will be a long match with at least 20 games played, just like in five out of last six head-to-head matches.

Second bet - total over 20 games.

Will the prediction win?

Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips24
% of profit0.38%
Win percentage45.83%
Average coefficient1.79
Wins45.83%  (11)
Refunds8.33%  (2)
Loses45.83%  (11)
Total tips78
% of profit-6.27%
Win percentage56.41%
Average coefficient1.85
Wins56.41%  (44)
Refunds5.13%  (4)
Loses38.46%  (30)
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